As AI is continually advancing in its capability, so does its threat level to existing jobs. The WEF predicted that only 48% of the workforce may comprise of humans by the end of this decade. In light of this, it becomes important to find a simple way that current and future professionals can use to assess whether their job is at risk in the near future, so that we can prepare in advance and make better decisions.
To help with this in easy-to-understand terms, I attempted to devise a simple framework that we can build further:
Step 1: Think about the tasks that are essential to a role. We do this because most AI solutions today are built to handle specific tasks, nor entire job profiles.
Step 2: Check whether these tasks:
1. Are rule-based: This implies the tasks can be executed by following specific pre-determined rules
2. Deal with predictable situations
If the answer is 'Yes' to one or both of these questions, the job is fairly at risk with AI. The level of risk depends on how many tasks comply with these two points, and to what extent.
Step 3: Check whether these tasks:
1. Involve critical decision making: Decisions critical to an organization, society or environment cannot be made without human involvement.
2. Involve the use of instinct/intuition/sentiment: These are primarily human strengths that AI can mimic more and more, but will take time to be adopted. For example, think about tasks where you have to let go of an employee, or represent the company in public.
If the answer is 'Yes' to one or both of these questions, the job is less at risk with AI. The level of risk depends on how many tasks do not comply with these two points, and to what extent.
The thesis behind this methodology, how it works, and how it looks like in practice is a longer discussion that I recently covered at the Reach 2020 conference. In case you missed it, there's a similar session focussed on the field of Marketing that I will cover as the closing speaker at the European Digital Week on Sept 26. You can find it here: https://vsmmic.com/schedule/
Please feel free to ping me in case you'd like to discuss it more here or at linkedin.com/in/malayaupadhyay
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